Showing posts with label Marketing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Marketing. Show all posts

Friday, March 6, 2015

Re: SCSCAI JANUARY 2015 SUMMARY OF OPERATIONS

Bernie, I have come to the conclusion that this is the True Cost of Volunteer Management (free Management).  Sun City Summerlin is a self managed community by nine volunteer Board of Directors. (only Management qualifications needed is membership in a small political group)

What can be expected from an (unaudited)  Balance Sheet? Moreover SCSCAI has a very complicated financial structure because it consolidates the balance sheets of the membership funds (Dues) with for profit cash business (golf/restaurants) therefore, co-mingling assets, liabilities and ownership and not providing the accountability of Generally Accepted Auditing Standards, or GAAS to the SCSCAI membership. The Board and Management are well aware of this and refuse to address this problem, Why?

It is logical to think that this situation will continue until this mismanagement has been stopped. Accountability and the end of controlled  Communications is needed.


On Fri, Mar 6, 2015 at 9:33 AM, Bernard Silver <silverinvegas@yahoo.com> wrote:
SCSCAI  JANUARY 2015 SUMMARY OF OPERATIONS 

The following summary relating to the operation of 2 businesses, open to the public, are
from data published by our Administration and available on www.scscai.com.

SCSCAI JANUARY 2015 SUMMARY OF OPERATIONS - JUNE 30 2014 THRU JANUARY 2015 (unaudited)

                                                            EXPENSES($)          REVENUE ($)

Golf Course & Restaurants                 3,693,373                  2,079,328

Golf Course & Restaurants         LOSS  (7 MONTHS)          1,614,045

    Prorated Loss for 12 months     2,766,934
    Prorated Loss per unit owner  =   $356   =  27.8% of $1,284  annual membership dues
                  

Number of Rounds of Golf Played  Prior Year to date............  45,869

Number of Rounds of Golf Played  Current Year to date.......   45,723

                          666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666







Friday, February 6, 2015

Nine & Wine

Sue,
Audrey and I attended the Nine & Wine golf event yesterday at Eagle Crest. It was great fun and we met a lot of nice people. Donny did a fabulous job coordinating this event. Looking forward to more social events like this one.
  
Audrey & Dwain
(702) 582-8064

Thursday, January 22, 2015

Re: Fwd: Highland Falls G.C. Maintenance Project/4th fairway perimeter

Ken, thanks for your insight into the management chain of command here in Sun City Summerlin. What I hear you saying is that the Golf Course/Landscape Maintenance Dept. is under the supervision  of the Property Committee, chaired by Director Bruce Alitt,/sub-committee, chaired by Allen Bell.

First of all I thought that the normal day to day maintenance operations was the responsibility of the Golf Course/Landscape Dept. overseen by the Executive Director. My neighbors and myself have continually informed the Board, Executive Director and Dept Heads of these neglected maintenance conditions that affects our homes. I will be glad to share my backup documents for a better overview of the situation.

Ken, Thanks for responding. We home-owners are not looking for answers, we are looking for the commitment that is outlined in Sun City's original governing documents. 

Dwain Kramzar

​P.S. I love your note stationary.​


On Mon, Oct 20, 2014 at 12:32 PM, Ken Caroccia <KCaroccia@cox.net> wrote:
Dwain I am not involuted with this because this is coming from Property Committee also this is a Sub Committee for Property for this landscaping
Bruce Alitt is the Chair of Property
Allen Bell is the Sub Committee chair
Maybe one of these people could give you some answers
Sorry Ken Caroccia 
-------Original Message-------
Date: 10/20/2014 11:52:48 AM
Subject: Fwd: Highland Falls G.C. Maintenance Project/4th fairway perimeter
Brian,
I want to thank you for finally starting the long overdue Highland Falls G.C. Maintenance Project/4th fairway perimeter. As you know this project was initiated April 2014 then stopped. Mid August I requested a copy of the planned work/order and schedule for this project completion date, this I have not yet received.

​Brian
, my neighbors and I would be glad to meet with your superiors to share our frustrations. Would you suggest meet with the Executive Director and of the Board of Directors. 

Work completed:
  • Partial load of rock delivered & left in pile.
  • Roger visited job site.
  • six shrubs removed.
  • A couple of irrigation drip lines installed. 


​Dwain Kramzar​

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: <CKUKLIN@aol.com>
Date: Tue, Sep 16, 2014 at 9:48 PM
Subject: Re: Highland Falls G.C. Maintenance Project/4th fairway perimeter
To: dkramzar@gmail.com




Dear Dwain,
thanks for sending this to Brian & me.  I was going to call him this week when I saw this & his answer.  We shall see.
Charlotte
In a message dated 9/14/2014 1:45:26 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time, dkramzar@gmail.com writes:

Brian, 
My neighbors and I are wondering what is the status of the Highland Falls G.C. Maintenance Project/4th fairway perimeter. As you know this project was initiated last May then delayed for various reasons. Your last update promised completion by September. We would appreciate the schedule date and a copy of w/o of work to be done by return email.

Thanks, if you have any questions don't hesitate to give me a call.
  

​Dwain Kramzar


​2624 High Range​


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Thursday, July 8, 2010

FW: Play TPC Summerlin and Support the First Tee of Southern Nevada

How about this! The attached promotion is one of Joe Kelley's projects along with being the SCSAI Business Manager, Golf Pro and a member of the Golf Oversight Committee & Golf Marketing/Promotion Committee expert. My question is what the hell is Kelly doing promoting TPC Summerlin golf course using SCSAI resources? Maybe this strategy is part of  Sun City Summerlin none existent Business Plan.

Say it ain't so, Joe.

DAK


From: Golf Sun City Summerlin [mailto:golf@suncitylv.com]
Sent: Thursday, July 08, 2010 12:37 PM
To: Dwain Kramzar
Subject: Play TPC Summerlin and Support the First Tee of Southern Nevada

Having trouble reading this email? View it on your browser. Not interested anymore? Unsubscribe Instantly.
Sun City Summerlin
THE FIRST TEE OF SOUTHERN NEVADA VIP DAY AT TPC SUMMERLIN
Play the premier private club where the Tour Professionals play during the Justin Timberlake PGA Tour Event!
Monday - July 19 - play TPC Summerlin for $100 per player. All proceeds from this event go to help the Junior Golfers of Las Vegas.

Starting times are available from 6:30 am - 3:00 pm. Call 343.1890 and book your time now.
 
Sun City Summerlin, 9107 Del Webb Boulevard, Las Vegas, NV 89134.

Friday, April 23, 2010

SCSCAI leadership, Cause & Effect

SCSCAI Board of Directors;

Ladies & Gentlemen,
When making preparation for the upcoming Golf Ad Hoc Marketing Committee Meeting I encountered problems understanding how committees are supposed to function in Sun City and needed clarification; I requested this information from several homeowners interested in the success of the Golf Ad Hoc Marketing Committee by my memo Need Clarification dated 4/21/10, received zero results. This led me to review the works of Irving Janis “Preventing groupthink” for an explanation how committees function (below). Please review my memo Need Clarification and give me your individual comments.

I believe you all know how concerned I am about the financial situation in Sun City Summerlin, as a homeowner, and I want to contribute to the solution. Do not hesitate to call on me.

Thank you for your consideration,


Dwain A. Kramzar   Retired HomeOwner
2624 High Range Dr.
Las Vegas, NV 89134

Groupthink
Thursday, April 22, 2010
10:22 AM
Symptoms of groupthink
To make groupthink testable, Irving Janis devised eight symptoms indicative of groupthink (1977).
Illusions of invulnerability creating excessive optimism and encouraging risk taking.

1.     Rationalizing warnings that might challenge the group's assumptions.
2.     Unquestioned belief in the morality of the group, causing members to ignore the consequences of their actions.
3.     Stereotyping those who are opposed to the group as weak, evil, biased, spiteful, disfigured, impotent, or stupid.
4.     Direct pressure to conform placed on any member who questions the group, couched in terms of "disloyalty".
5.     Self censorship of ideas that deviate from the apparent group consensus.
6.     Illusions of unanimity among group members, silence is viewed as agreement.
7.     Mind guards — self-appointed members who shield the group from dissenting information.

Groupthink, resulting from the symptoms listed above, results in defective decision making. That is, consensus-driven decisions are the result of the following practices of groupthinking[5]

·        Incomplete survey of alternatives
·        Incomplete survey of objectives
·        Failure to examine risks of preferred choice
·        Failure to reevaluate previously rejected alternatives
·        Poor information search
·        Selection bias in collecting information
·        Failure to work out contingency plans.

Janis argued that groupthink was responsible for the Bay of Pigs 'fiasco' and other major examples of faulty decision-making. The UK bank Northern Rock, before its nationalisation, is thought to be a recent major example of groupthink.[5] In such real-world examples, a number of the above groupthink symptoms were displayed.



Preventing groupthink
According to Irving Janis, decision making groups are not necessarily destined to groupthink. He devised seven ways of preventing groupthink (209-15):

·        Leaders should assign each member the role of “critical evaluator”. This allows each member to freely air objections and doubts.
·        Higher-ups should not express an opinion when assigning a task to a group.
·        The organization should set up several independent groups, working on the same problem.
·        All effective alternatives should be examined.
·        Each member should discuss the group's ideas with trusted people outside of the group.
·        The group should invite outside experts into meetings. Group members should be allowed to discuss with and question the outside experts.
·        At least one group member should be assigned the role of Devil's advocate. This should be a different person for each meeting.

By following these guidelines, groupthink can be avoided. After the Bay of Pigs invasion fiasco, John F. Kennedy sought to avoid groupthink during the Cuban Missile Crisis.[6] During meetings, he invited outside experts to share their viewpoints, and allowed group members to question them carefully. He also encouraged group members to discuss possible solutions with trusted members within their separate departments, and he even divided the group up into various sub-groups, to partially break the group cohesion. JFK was deliberately absent from the meetings, so as to avoid pressing his own opinion. Ultimately, the Cuban missile crisis was resolved peacefully, thanks in part to these measures.




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Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Need Clarification:

Gentlemen,
Help me out, I am having problems understanding how committees are supposed to function in Sun City. The By-Laws defines the responsibilities and members of the Golf Oversight Committee 18(Amended 01/2003). The word Oversight suggest that the intention of the By-Laws is to provide supervision and to protect the quality of the community’s golf course assets for the Association membership.

A component of the GOC the Permanent Advisory Board (paid employs) has given consistently wrong advice to the Board, now the BoD’s has charged an AD-Hoc committee to rectify the wrong direction of the PAB and to come up with a Marketing solution using the same subordinates. (I feel the tail is wagging the dog)

My question is, how can you make this point to the BoD’s without inflaming them? Got any ideas?

DAK 

Need Clarification:
8.9 Golf Oversight Committee 18(Amended 01/2003)
The Golf Oversight Committee keeps the Board of Directors advised of suggested improvement or enhancements to the golf courses and makes recommendations as to: golf operations, golf fees, golf reserve funds, outside play and other pertinent golf issues. In addition, the Committee hears suggestions and complaints from the residents in general, resident golfers and adjacent property owners. The Committee then makes recommendations for corrective action. The Committee will be comprised of a Chairperson appointed by the Board of Directors of no less than five (5) members appointed by the Chairperson. The Committee will also include a permanent advisory Board consisting of the Executive Director, the Director of Golf and the Director of Golf Course Maintenance

Note: it appears that the Golf Oversight Committees permanent advisory Board, consisting of three paid employee's, are in charge of their own evaluation.
1.     Where is the Director of Golf  listed as an employee on the Sun City organizational chart.?
2.     Who is the Director of Golf & what are his listed duties?
3.     Is the Golf Ad Hoc Committee a duplication of the Golf Oversight committee, will it create a conflict?


Thursday, April 15, 2010

MKT/PRO 1st Meeting

Looking foward to the 2nd meeting of the golf Marketeing/Promotion Ad-Hoc Committe I have reviewed and organized my notes & observations. If anyone needs clarification do not hesitate to give me a call.

DAK

MKT/PRO 1st Meeting
Wednesday, April 07, 2010
8:09 AM


    QUESTIONS NEEDED TO BE ASKED/DAK
     What is a Customer worth
     What would make Sun City unique
     What is the Customer experience history
     How  are the 13K residents being utilized 
A FEW REASONS WHY BUSINESS CAN FAIL

•  Failure to have a business plan.   
   •  Failure to communicate and implement the business plan.
   •  Management team lacks the necessary leadership and business skills required.
   •  Lack of understanding of the competition.
   •  Refusal to change as the business environment changes.
   •  Employee base does not understand their individual roles and job expectations.
   •  Poor customer service.
   •  Lack of understanding of the customer needs.
   •  Poor quality products.
   •  Lack of understanding of the real costs of the services and/or product you provide.
   •  Failure to negotiate the best possible purchase price of supplies and materials.
   •  Losing control of the organization due to continued operation within the Crisis  Mode.
   •  Excessive overhead costs.
   •  Failure to establish employee goals and objectives.
   •  Rate of growth of the business is exceeding the ability of the management team to keep up with the pace.




    STRATEGIES REVIEWED:
  1. Goal: Two new Mkt. strategies  over six months to increase revenues by 10% over the next two years/LeVasseur/Kelly
  2. Pricing/Bob F
  3. Focus on Tourism & premium players/Bernie S
  4. Pricing Packages offered/Kelley
  5. ??/Rhoda R
  6. Mkt. Community via Web/Stan B/Allan B

NEXT MEETING:
When: Wednesday, April 28th
Time: 1:00 PM
Where: Desert Vista Committee Room

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Friday, April 9, 2010

GOLF MARKETING/PROMOTION AD-HOC COMMITTEE 4/8/10

Mr. de Doelder,
I am glad to see you have been appointed to the Finance Committee and the Golf Ad-Hoc Committees. Bob, you have the opportunity to bring a fresh uncontaminated approach to the financial problems facing our Sun City community. As you know, I have been very vocal regarding the reluctance of the past Board of Directors and Management to produce or acknowledge a standard Business Plan. A Business Plan is the foundation with eight essential elements placed on top, one of these elements being Marketing & Sales Management, no foundation no plan!

August 17, 2009 I petitioned the Board for the implantation of a Standard Business Plan, complete with a monthly P&L w/hard close and Balance Statement that is mandatory business procedure. There has been a reluctance to produce a Business Plan by the BoD in the past, this includes the Executive Director (a nonvoting member of the Board). Due to the lack of professional guidance by the Executive Director, this has cost our Sun City Community over $6,575.00 per day for a total exceeding $12,000,000.

My reason for attending the “GOLF MARKETING/PROMOTION AD-HOC COMMITTEE” meeting was 1.) to see if the new BoD’s were to honor the campaign commitment for a Business Plan. 2.) if so, offer to contribute whatever I could to the project.

Bob, the above LINKS to my blog will fully state my positions on these matters, by the way the past BoD’s chose to ignore most of my correspondence. If I can be of any assistance to you and our community do not hesitate to call on me.

Dwain Kramzar
702.838.5049

Tuesday, July 7, 2009

Business Plan for an Established Business

Business Plan for an Established Business

This business plan consists of a narrative and several financial
spreadsheets. The narrative template is the body of the business plan. It
contains more than 150 questions divided into several sections. Work through
the sections in any order you like, except for the Executive Summary, which
should be done last. Skip any questions that do not apply to your business.
When you are finished writing your first draft, you will have a collection
of small essays on the various topics of the business plan. Then you will
want to edit them into a flowing narrative.
The real value of doing a business plan is not having the finished product
in hand; rather, the value lies in the process of research and thinking
about your business in a systematic way. The act of planning helps you to
think things through thoroughly, to study and research when you are not sure
of the facts, and to look at your ideas critically. It takes time, but
avoids costly, perhaps disastrous, mistakes later.
The business plan narrative is a generic model suitable for all types of
businesses. However, you should modify it to suit your particular
circumstances. Before you begin, review the section titled Refining the
Plan, found at the end of the business plan. It suggests emphasizing certain
areas, depending upon your type of business (manufacturing, retail, service,
etc.). It also has tips for fine-tuning your plan to make an effective
presentation to investors or bankers. If this is why you are writing your
plan, pay particular attention to your writing style. You will be judged by
the quality and appearance of your work as well as your ideas.
It typically takes several weeks to complete a good plan. Most of that time
is spent in research and rethinking your ideas and assumptions. But then,
that is the value of the process. So make time to do the job properly. Those
who do never regret the effort. And finally, be sure to keep detailed notes
on your sources of information and on the assumptions underlying your
financial data.

Business Plan
OWNERS
Business Name
Street Address
Address 2
City, ST ZIP Code
phone
fax
e-mail


Executive Summary
Write this section last!
We suggest that you make it two pages or less.
Include everything that you would cover in a five-minute interview.
Explain the fundamentals of the business: What is your product, who are your
customers, who are the owners, and what do you think the future holds for
your business and your industry?
Make it enthusiastic, professional, complete, and concise.
If you are applying for a loan, state clearly how much you want, precisely
how you are going to use it, and how the money will make your business more
profitable, thereby ensuring repayment.

II. General Company Description
Mission statement: Many companies have a brief mission statement, usually 30
words or fewer, explaining their reason for being and their guiding
principles. If you have a mission statement, this is a good place to put it
in the plan, followed by company goals and objectives and business
philosophy.

What business are you in? What do you do?

What is your target market? (Explain briefly here, because you will do a
more thorough explanation in the Marketing Plan section.)

Describe your industry. Is it a growth industry? What changes do you foresee
in your industry, and how is your company poised to take advantage of them?

Now give a detailed description of the business:

Form of ownership: Sole proprietor, partnership, corporation, or limited
liability corporation (LLC)?

Company history: Years in business, previous owners, successes, failures,
lessons learned, reputation in community, sales and profit history, number
of employees, and events that affected success. Discuss significant past
problems and how you solved and survived them.

Most important strengths and core competencies: What factors will make the
company succeed? What are your major competitive strengths? What strengths
do you personally bring to the business?

Significant challenges the company faces now and in the near future: If you
are asking for funding, go on to explain how the new capital will help you
meet these challenges.

Long term: What are your plans for the future of the business? Growth? If
so, at what rate and how will you achieve it?

Are you developing strategies for continued growth, increased production,
diversification, or eventual sale of the business? What are your time frames
for these?

III. Products and Services
Describe in depth your products and services. (Technical specifications,
drawings, photos, sales brochures, and other bulky items belong in the
Appendices.)

What factors give you competitive advantages or disadvantages? For example,
the level of quality, or unique or proprietary features.

What is the pricing, fee, or leasing structure of your products and
services?

IV. Marketing Plan
Notes on Preparation:
Market research: Why?
You spend so much time on marketing-related matters - customers,
competitors, pricing, promotion, and advertising - that it is natural to
assume that you have little to learn. However, every small business can
benefit from doing market research to make sure it is on track. Use the
business planning process as your opportunity to uncover data and to
question your marketing efforts. It will be time well spent.
Market research: How?

There are two kinds of market research: primary and secondary.
Secondary research means using published information such as industry
profiles, trade journals, newspapers, magazines, census data, and
demographic profiles. This type of information is available from public
libraries, industry associations, chambers of commerce, vendors who sell to
your industry, and government agencies.
Start with your local library. Most librarians are pleased to guide you
through their business data collection. You will be amazed at what is there.
There are more online sources than you could possibly use. Your chamber of
commerce has good information on the local area. Trade associations and
trade publications often have excellent industry-specific data.

Primary market research means gathering your own data. For example, you
could do your own traffic count at a proposed location, use the yellow pages
to identify competitors, and do surveys or focus group interviews to learn
about consumer preferences. Professional market research can be very costly,
but there are many books that show small business owners how to do effective
research.

In your marketing plan, be as specific as possible; give statistics,
numbers, and sources. The marketing plan will be the basis, later on, of the
all-important sales projection.

The Marketing Plan:
Economics
  • * Facts about your industry
  • * Total size of your market
  • * Percentage share of the market you have. (This is important only if
  • you are a major factor in the market.)
  • * Current demand in target market
  • * Growth history
  • * Trends in target market - growth trends, trends in consumer
  • preferences, and trends in product development
  • * Growth potential and opportunity for a business of your size
  • * What barriers to entry keep potential new competitors from flooding
  • into your market?
  • * High capital costs
  • High production costs
  • High marketing costs
  • Consumer acceptance/brand recognition
  • Training/skills
  • Unique technology/patents
  • Unions
  • Shipping costs
  • Tariff barriers/quotas
  • * How could the following affect your company?
  • * Change in technology
  • Government regulations
  • Changing economy
  • Change in your industry
Products
In the Products and Services section, you described your products and
services as you see them. Now describe them from your customers' point of
view.
Features and Benefits
List all your major products or services.
For each product or service, describe the most important features. That is,
what does the product do? What is special about it?
Now, for each product or service, describe its benefits. That is, what does
the product do for the customer?
Note the differences between features and benefits, and think about them.
For example, a house gives shelter and lasts a long time; those are its
features. Its benefits include pride of ownership, financial security,
providing for the family, and inclusion in a neighborhood. You build
features into your product so you can sell the benefits.
What after-sale services are supplied? For example: delivery, warranty,
service contracts, support, follow-up, or refund policy.

Customers
Identify your customers, their characteristics, and their geographic
locations; that is, demographics.
The description will be completely different depending on whether you sell
to other businesses or directly to consumers. If you sell a consumer
product, but sell it through a channel of distributors, wholesalers, and
retailers, you must carefully analyze both the end user and the intermediary
businesses to which you sell.
You may have more than one customer group. Identify the most important
groups. Then, for each consumer group, construct a demographic profile:
  • * Age
  • * Gender
  • * Location
  • * Income level
  • * Social class/occupation
  • * Education
  • * Other
For business customers, the demographic factors might be:
  • * Industry (or portion of an industry)
  • * Location
  • * Size of firm
  • * Quality/technology/price preferences
  • * Other
Competition

What products and companies compete with you? List your major competitors,
including their names and addresses.
Do they compete with you across the board, just for certain products,
certain customers, or in certain locations?
Use the following table to compare your company with your three most
important competitors.
In the first column are key competitive factors. Because these vary with
each market, you may want to customize the list of factors.
In the cell labeled "Me," state honestly how you think you stack up in
customers' minds. Then decide whether you think this factor is a strength or
a weakness for you. If you find it hard to analyze yourself this way, enlist
some disinterested party to assess you. This can be a real eye-opener.
Now analyze each major competitor. In a few words, state how you think they
stack up.

In the last column, estimate how important each competitive factor is to the
customer. 1 = critical; 5 = not very important.
Table 1: Competitive Analysis
FACTOR Me Strength Weakness Competitor A Competitor B
Competitor C Importance to customer
Products
Price
Quality
Selection
Service
Reliability
Stability
Expertise
Company reputation

Location
Appearance
Sales method
Credit policies
Advertising
Image

After you finish the competitive matrix, write a short paragraph stating
your competitive advantages and disadvantages.


Niche
Now that you have systematically analyzed your industry, your product, your
customers, and the competition, you should have a clear picture of where
your company fits into the world.
In one short paragraph, define your niche, your unique corner of the market.

Marketing Strategy
Now outline a marketing strategy that is consistent with your niche.
Promotion: How do you get the word out to customers?


Advertising: What media do you use, why, and how often? Has your advertising
been effective? How can you tell?


Do you use other methods, such as trade shows, catalogs, dealer incentives,
word of mouth, and network of friends or professionals?
If you have identifiable repeat customers, do you have a systematic contact
plan?
Why this mix and not some other?


Promotional Budget
How much will you spend on the items listed above?


Should you consider spending less on some promotional activities and more on
others?


Pricing
What is your pricing strategy? For most small businesses, having the lowest
prices is not a good strategy. Usually you will do better to have average
prices and compete on quality and service. Does your pricing strategy fit
with what was revealed in your competitive analysis?
Compare your prices with those of your competition. Are they higher, lower,
the same? Why?


How important is price as a competitive factor?
What are your payment and customer credit policies?
Location
You will describe your physical location in the Operational Plan section of
your business plan. Here in the Marketing Plan section, analyze your
location as it affects your customers.


If customers come to your place of business:

  • * Is it convenient? Parking? Interior spaces? Not out of the way?
  • * Is it consistent with your image?
  • * Is it what customers want and expect?
Where is the competition located? Is it better for you to be near them (like
car dealers or fast-food restaurants) or distant (like convenience food
stores)?


Distribution Channels
How do you sell your products or services?
* Retail
* Direct (mail order, World Wide Web, catalog)
* Wholesale
* Your own sales force
* Agents
* Independent reps
Has your marketing strategy proven effective?
Do you need to make any changes or additions to current strategies?
Sales Forecast


Now that you have described your products, services, customers, markets, and
marketing plans in detail, it is time to attach some numbers to your plan.
Use a forecast spreadsheet to prepare a month-by-month projection. Base the
forecast on your historical sales, the marketing strategies that you have
just described, your market research, and industry data, if available.
You may want to do two forecasts: 1) a "best guess," which is what you
really expect, and 2) a "worst case" low estimate that you are confident you
can reach no matter what happens

.
Remember to keep notes on your research and your assumptions as you build
this sales forecast and all subsequent spreadsheets in the plan. Relate the
forecast to your sales history, explaining the major differences between
past and projected sales. This is critical if you are going to present it to
funding sources.


V. Operational Plan
Explain the daily operation of the business, its location, equipment,
people, processes, and surrounding environment.
Production
How and where do you produce your products or services?
Explain your methods of:

  • * Production techniques and costs
  • * Quality control
  • * Customer service
  • * Inventory control
  • * Product development
Location
Describe the locations of production, sales, storage areas, and buildings.
Do you lease or own your premises?
Describe access to your buildings (walk in, parking, freeway, airport,
railroad, and shipping).
What are your business hours?
If you are trying to get an expansion loan, include a drawing or layout of
your proposed facility.
Legal Environment
Describe the following:
  • * Licensing and bonding requirements
  • * Permits
  • * Health, workplace, or environmental regulations
  • * Special regulations covering your industry or profession
  • * Zoning or building code requirements
  • * Insurance coverage
  • * Trademarks, copyrights, or patents (pending, existing, or purchased)
  • Personnel
  • * Number of employees
  • * Type of labor (skilled, unskilled, professional)
  • * Where do you find new employees?
  • * Quality of existing staff
  • * Pay structure
  • * Training methods and requirements
  • * New hiring in the coming year?
  • * Who does which tasks?
  • * Are schedules and procedures in place?
  • * Do you have written job descriptions for employees? If not, take
  • time to write some. Written job descriptions really help internal
  • communications with employees.
  • * Do you use contract workers as well as employees?
  • Inventory
  • * What kind of inventory do you keep: raw materials, supplies,
  • finished goods?
  • * Average value in stock; that is, what is your inventory investment?
  • * Rate of turnover and how it compares with industry averages?
  • * Seasonal buildups?
  • * Lead time for ordering?
Suppliers
Note the following information about your suppliers:
Their names and addresses.
Type and amount of inventory furnished.
Credit and delivery policies.
History and reliability.
Do you expect shortages or short-term delivery problems?
Are supply costs steady or fluctuating? If fluctuating, how do you deal with
changing costs?
Should you be searching out new sources of supply, or are you satisfied with
present suppliers?
Credit Policies
Do you sell on credit? If so, do you really need to? Is it customary in
your industry and expected by your clientele?
Do you carefully monitor your payables (what you owe to vendors) to take
advantage of discounts and to keep your credit rating good?
You need to carefully manage both the credit you extend and the credit you
receive.
Managing Your Accounts Receivable
If you do extend credit, what are your policies about who gets credit and
how much?
How do you check the creditworthiness of new applicants?
What terms will you offer your customers; that is, how much credit and when
is payment due?
Do you offer prompt payment discounts? (It is best to do this only if it is
usual and customary in your industry.)
Do you know what it costs you to extend credit? This includes both the cost
of capital tied up in receivables and the cost of bad debts.
Have you built the costs into your prices?
You should do an aging at least monthly to track how much of your money is
tied up in credit given to customers and to alert you to slow payment
problems. A receivables aging looks like the following table.
Table 2: Accounts Receivable Aging
Total Current 30 Days 60 Days 90 Days Over 90 Days
Accounts receivable aging

Collecting from delinquent customers is no fun. You need a set policy and
you need to follow it.
When do you make a phone call?
When do you send a letter?
When do you get your attorney to threaten?
Managing Your Accounts Payable
You should also age your accounts payable (what you owe to your suppliers).
Use this format.
Table 3: Accounts Payable Aging
Total Current 30 Days 60 Days 90 Days Over 90 Days
Accounts payable aging

This helps you plan whom to pay and when. Paying too early depletes your
cash, but paying late can cost you valuable discounts and damage your
credit. (Hint: If you know you will be late making a payment, call the
creditor before the due date. It tends to relax them.)
Are prompt payment discounts offered by your proposed vendors? Do you always
take them?


VI. Management and Organization
Who manages the business on a day-to-day basis?
What experience does that person bring to the business? What special or
distinctive competencies?
Is there a plan for continuation of the business if this person is lost or
incapacitated?
If you have more than 10 employees, prepare an organizational chart showing
the management hierarchy and who is responsible for key functions. Include
position descriptions for key employees.
Professional and Advisory Support


List the following:

  • * Board of directors and management advisory board
  • * Attorney
  • * Accountant
  • * Insurance agent
  • * Banker
  • * Consultants
  • * Mentors and key advisors
VII. Personal Financial Statement
Owners often have to draw on personal assets to finance the business. This
statement will show you what is available. Bankers and investors usually
want this information as well. They will ask owners to cosign or personally
guarantee any business loans.
Document your assumptions, notes, definitions, and any special financial
situation. Include details of notes, securities, contracts, etc. on the
bottom of a personal financial spreadsheet. Include one such spreadsheet for
each principal.


VIII. Financial History and Analysis
A solid analysis of the past must precede any serious attempt to forecast
the future. A financial history and ratios spreadsheet will allow you to put
a great deal of financial information from other statements on a single page
for ease of comprehension and analysis. You may also enter industry average
ratios for comparison.
In the Appendices, put year-end balance sheets, operating statements, and
business income tax returns for the past three years, plus your most current
balance sheet and operating statement.
Debt Schedule
This table gives in-depth information that the financial statements
themselves do not usually provide. Include a debt schedule in the following
format for each note payable on your most recent balance sheet.


Table 4: Debt Schedule
To whom payable Original amount Original date Present balance Rate of
interest Maturity date Monthly payment Security Current/
past due


IX. Financial Plan
The financial plan consists of a 12-month profit and loss projection, a
four-year profit and loss projection (optional), a cash-flow projection, a
projected balance sheet, and a breakeven calculation.
Together, these spreadsheets constitute a reasonable estimate of your
company's financial future. More important, however, the process of thinking
through the financial plan will improve your insight into the inner
financial workings of your company.


12-Month Profit and Loss Projection
Explain the major assumptions used to estimate company income and expenses.
Your sales projection should come from an annual sales forecast. Pay special
attention to areas where historical performance varies markedly from your
projections.


Four-Year Profit Projection (Optional)
The 12-month projection is the heart of your financial plan. However, this
worksheet is for those who want to carry their forecasts beyond the first
year. It is expected of those seeking venture capital. Bankers pay more
attention to the 12-month projection.
Of course, keep notes of your key assumptions, especially about things you
expect to change dramatically over the years.


Projected Cash Flow
The cash-flow projection is just a forward look at your checking account.
For each item, determine when you actually expect to receive cash (for
sales) or when you will actually have to write a check (for expense items).
Your cash flow will show you whether your working capital is adequate.
Clearly if your cash on hand goes negative, you will need more. It will also
show when and how much you need to borrow.


Explain your major assumptions, especially those that make the cash flow
differ from a profit and loss statement, such as:
* If you make a sale in month 1, when do you actually collect the
cash?

  • * When you buy inventory or materials, do you pay in advance, upon
  • delivery, or much later?
  • * How will this affect cash flow?
  • * Are some expenses payable in advance?
  • * Are there irregular expenses, equipment purchase, or inventory
buildup that should be budgeted?
And of course, depreciation does not appear at all because you never write a
check for it.


Projected Balance Sheet
This is an estimate of what the balance sheet will look like at the end of
the 12-month period covered in your projections.
In the business plan section related to your projected balance sheet, state
the assumptions that you used for all major changes between your last
historical balance sheet and the projection.
Breakeven Analysis
A breakeven analysis determines the sales volume, at a given price, that is
required to recover total costs.
Expressed as a formula, breakeven is as follows.

Breakeven sales = Fixed costs
1- Variable costs

(Where fixed costs are expressed in dollars, but variable costs are
expressed as a percentage of total sales.)


X. Appendices
Include details and studies used in your business plan; for example:

  • * Brochures and advertising materials
  • * Industry studies
  • * Blueprints and plans
  • * Maps and photos of location
  • * Magazine or other articles
  • * Detailed lists of equipment owned or to be purchased
  • * Copies of leases and contracts
  • * Letters of support from future customers
  • * Any other materials needed to support the assumptions in this plan
  • * Market research studies
XI. Refining the Plan
The generic business plan presented above should be modified to suit your
specific type of business and the audience for which the plan is written.
For Raising Capital
For Bankers


Bankers want assurance of orderly repayment. If you intend to use this plan
to present to lenders, include:

  • * Amount of loan.
  • * How you will use the funds.
  • * What will this accomplish (how will it make the business stronger)?
  • * Requested repayment terms (number of years to repay). You will
  • probably not have much negotiating room on interest rate, but you may be
  • able to negotiate a longer repayment term, which will help cash flow.
  • * Collateral offered, and a list of all existing liens against the
  • collateral.
For Investors
Investors have a different perspective from bankers. They are looking for
dramatic growth, and they expect to share in the rewards. Include the
following in the plan that you present to potential investors:
Funds needed short term
Funds needed in two to five years
How the company will use the funds, and what this will accomplish for growth
Estimated return on investment
Exit strategy for investors (buyback, sale, or IPO)
Percentage of ownership that you will give up to investors
Milestones or conditions that you will accept
Financial reporting that you will provide
Involvement of investors on the board or in management


Refine Your Plan for the Type of Business
Manufacturing

  • * Present production levels
  • * Present levels of direct production costs and indirect (overhead)
  • costs
  • * Gross profit margin, overall and for each product line
  • * Possible production efficiency increases
  • * Production-capacity limits of existing physical plant
  • * Production capacity of expanded plant (if expansion is planned)
  • * Production-capacity limits of existing equipment
  • * Production capacity of new equipment (if new equipment is planned)
  • * Prices per product line
  • * Purchasing and inventory management procedures
  • * Anticipated modifications or improvements to existing products
  • * New products under development or anticipated
Service Businesses
Service businesses sell intangible products. They are usually more flexible
than other types of business, but they also have higher labor costs and
generally very little in fixed assets.
  • * Prices
  • * Methods used to set prices
  • * System of production management
  • * Quality control procedures
  • * Standard or accepted industry quality standards
  • * How do you measure labor productivity?
  • * What percentage of total available hours do you bill to customers?
  • * Breakeven billable hours
  • * Percentage of work subcontracted to other firms
  • * Profit on subcontracting?
  • * Credit, payment, and collections policies and procedures
  • * Strategy for keeping client base
  • * Strategy for attracting new clients
  • High-Tech Companies
  • * Economic outlook for the industry
  • * Does your company have information systems in place to manage
  • rapidly changing prices, costs, and markets?
  • * Is your company on the cutting edge with its products and services?
  • * What is the status of R&D? And what is required to bring the product
  • or service to market and to keep the company competitive?
  • * How does the company:
  • * Protect intellectual property?
Avoid technological obsolescence?
Supply necessary capital?
Retain key personnel?
If your company is not yet profitable or perhaps does not yet even have
sales, you must do longer-term financial forecasts to show when profit
take-off will occur. And your assumptions must be well documented and well
argued.


Retail Business

  • * Company image
  • * Pricing: Explain mark-up policies. Prices should be profitable,
  • competitive, and in accord with the company image.
  • * Inventory:
  • * Selection and price should be consistent with company image.
  • Calculate your annual inventory turnover rate. Compare this to the industry
  • average for your type of store.
  • * Customer service policies: These should be competitive and in accord
  • with the company image.
  • * Location: Does it give the exposure you need? Is it convenient for
  • customers? Is it consistent with company image?
  • * Promotion: What methods do you use and what do they cost? Do they
  • project a consistent company image?
  • * Credit: Do you extend credit to customers? If yes, do you really
  • need to, and do you factor the cost into prices?